use of dr.inference.distribution.NormalDistributionModel in project beast-mcmc by beast-dev.
the class EllipticalSliceOperator method main.
public static void main(String[] arg) {
// Define normal model
// Starting values
Parameter thetaParameter = new Parameter.Default(new double[] { 1.0, 0.0 });
MaskedParameter meanParameter = new MaskedParameter(thetaParameter, new Parameter.Default(new double[] { 1.0, 0.0 }), true);
TransformedParameter precParameter = new TransformedParameter(new MaskedParameter(thetaParameter, new Parameter.Default(new double[] { 0.0, 1.0 }), true), new Transform.LogTransform(), true);
// System.err.println(thetaParameter);
// System.err.println(meanParameter);
// System.err.println(precParameter);
ParametricDistributionModel densityModel = new NormalDistributionModel(meanParameter, precParameter, true);
DistributionLikelihood likelihood = new DistributionLikelihood(densityModel);
// Define prior
MultivariateNormalDistribution priorDistribution = new MultivariateNormalDistribution(new double[] { 0.0, 0.0 }, new double[][] { { 0.001, 0.0 }, { 0.0, 0.001 } });
MultivariateDistributionLikelihood prior = new MultivariateDistributionLikelihood(priorDistribution);
prior.addData(thetaParameter);
// Define data
// likelihood.addData(new Attribute.Default<double[]>("Data", new double[] {0.0, 2.0, 4.0}));
likelihood.addData(new Attribute.Default<double[]>("Data", new double[] { 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 }));
List<Likelihood> list = new ArrayList<Likelihood>();
list.add(likelihood);
list.add(prior);
CompoundLikelihood posterior = new CompoundLikelihood(0, list);
EllipticalSliceOperator sliceSampler = new EllipticalSliceOperator(thetaParameter, priorDistribution, false, true);
final int dim = thetaParameter.getDimension();
final int length = 100000;
double[] mean = new double[dim];
double[] variance = new double[dim];
Parameter[] log = new Parameter[dim];
log[0] = meanParameter;
log[1] = precParameter;
for (int i = 0; i < length; i++) {
sliceSampler.doOperation(posterior);
for (int j = 0; j < dim; ++j) {
double x = log[j].getValue(0);
mean[j] += x;
variance[j] += x * x;
}
}
for (int j = 0; j < dim; ++j) {
mean[j] /= length;
variance[j] /= length;
variance[j] -= mean[j] * mean[j];
}
System.out.println("E(x)\tStErr(x)");
for (int j = 0; j < dim; ++j) {
System.out.println(mean[j] + " " + Math.sqrt(variance[j]));
}
}
use of dr.inference.distribution.NormalDistributionModel in project beast-mcmc by beast-dev.
the class SliceOperator method main.
public static void main(String[] arg) {
// Define normal model
// Starting value
Parameter meanParameter = new Parameter.Default(1.0);
// Fixed value
Variable<Double> stdev = new Variable.D(1.0, 1);
ParametricDistributionModel densityModel = new NormalDistributionModel(meanParameter, stdev);
DistributionLikelihood likelihood = new DistributionLikelihood(densityModel);
// Define prior
// Hyper-priors
DistributionLikelihood prior = new DistributionLikelihood(new NormalDistribution(0.0, 1.0));
prior.addData(meanParameter);
// Define data
likelihood.addData(new Attribute.Default<double[]>("Data", new double[] { 0.0, 1.0, 2.0 }));
List<Likelihood> list = new ArrayList<Likelihood>();
list.add(likelihood);
list.add(prior);
CompoundLikelihood posterior = new CompoundLikelihood(0, list);
SliceOperator sliceSampler = new SliceOperator(meanParameter);
final int length = 10000;
double mean = 0;
double variance = 0;
for (int i = 0; i < length; i++) {
sliceSampler.doOperation(posterior);
double x = meanParameter.getValue(0);
mean += x;
variance += x * x;
}
mean /= length;
variance /= length;
variance -= mean * mean;
System.out.println("E(x) = " + mean);
System.out.println("V(x) = " + variance);
}
use of dr.inference.distribution.NormalDistributionModel in project beast-mcmc by beast-dev.
the class Tutorial1 method main.
public static void main(String[] arg) throws IOException, TraceException {
// constructing random variable representing mean of normal distribution
Variable.D mean = new Variable.D("mean", 1.0);
// give mean a uniform prior [-1000, 1000]
mean.addBounds(new Parameter.DefaultBounds(1000, -1000, 1));
// constructing random variable representing stdev of normal distribution
Variable.D stdev = new Variable.D("stdev", 1.0);
// give stdev a uniform prior [0, 1000]
stdev.addBounds(new Parameter.DefaultBounds(1000, 0, 1));
// construct normal distribution model
NormalDistributionModel normal = new NormalDistributionModel(mean, stdev);
// construct a likelihood for normal distribution
DistributionLikelihood likelihood = new DistributionLikelihood(normal);
// construct data
Attribute.Default<double[]> d = new Attribute.Default<double[]>("x", new double[] { 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 });
// add data (representing 9 independent observations) to likelihood
likelihood.addData(d);
// construct two "operators" to be used as the proposal distribution
MCMCOperator meanMove = new ScaleOperator(mean, 0.75);
MCMCOperator stdevMove = new ScaleOperator(stdev, 0.75);
// construct a logger to log progress of MCMC run to stdout (screen)
MCLogger logger1 = new MCLogger(100);
logger1.add(mean);
logger1.add(stdev);
// construct a logger to log to a log file for later analysis
MCLogger logger2 = new MCLogger("tutorial1.log", 100, false, 0);
logger2.add(mean);
logger2.add(stdev);
// construct MCMC object
MCMC mcmc = new MCMC("tutorial1:normal");
// initialize MCMC with chain length, likelihood, operators and loggers
mcmc.init(100000, likelihood, new MCMCOperator[] { meanMove, stdevMove }, new Logger[] { logger1, logger2 });
// run the mcmc
mcmc.chain();
// perform post-analysis
TraceAnalysis.report("tutorial1.log");
}
use of dr.inference.distribution.NormalDistributionModel in project beast-mcmc by beast-dev.
the class NormalDistributionModelParser method parseXMLObject.
public Object parseXMLObject(XMLObject xo) throws XMLParseException {
Parameter meanParam;
Parameter scaleParam;
Parameter precParam;
XMLObject cxo = xo.getChild(MEAN);
if (cxo.getChild(0) instanceof Parameter) {
meanParam = (Parameter) cxo.getChild(Parameter.class);
} else {
meanParam = new Parameter.Default(cxo.getDoubleChild(0));
}
cxo = xo.getChild(STDEV);
if (cxo == null) {
cxo = xo.getChild(SCALE);
}
if (cxo != null) {
if (cxo.getChild(0) instanceof Parameter) {
scaleParam = (Parameter) cxo.getChild(Parameter.class);
} else {
scaleParam = new Parameter.Default(cxo.getDoubleChild(0));
}
return new NormalDistributionModel(meanParam, scaleParam);
} else {
cxo = xo.getChild(PREC);
if (cxo.getChild(0) instanceof Parameter) {
precParam = (Parameter) cxo.getChild(Parameter.class);
} else {
precParam = new Parameter.Default(cxo.getDoubleChild(0));
}
}
return new NormalDistributionModel(meanParam, precParam, true);
}
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